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While the planet melts: What Scientology predicted about climate change

The dog days are really on us now. Some serious heat enveloped New York yesterday, and we know that some of our readers are in places that are going through unprecedented heat waves. Scotland, for example, had its hottest day in recorded history on Tuesday.

As much as we were tempted to merely take a day off and hope for cooler weather, we were thankful to hear from one of our longtime readers and correspondents, who brought us an item that seemed perfect for this week’s temperatures. So grab a cool drink, crank up the fan, and beat the heat with this summer-fun anecdote. Scientology, it never fails to provide entertainment…

In the mid 1990s – before climate change was real to most people – Jarrett Buys, a Scientologist living in Clearwater, Florida, created a buzz in the Scientology community by predicting, using Hubbard’s method of data analysis, that planet Earth was headed for another Ice Age.

I was an active Scientologist at the time and heard about this from a friend. My friend also arranged for me to attend one of his briefings, which I did in around 1994.


Jarrett had studied the Hubbard Elementary Data Series Evaluator’s Course, which intended to teach Scientologists how to evaluate a pile of data and establish which things were true, false, important, less important, unimportant, etc. Like all Hubbard’s courses, this one included the study of theoretic principles as well as practical application.

If I remember correctly, Jarrett did an “eval” (short for “evaluation”) on the Earth’s environment for the practical requirement of the course – he had to choose a topic that warranted heavy, detailed “evaluation” and chose the Earth’s environment and what was going on in it. He had obtained a huge amount of scientific information and analyzed it according to Hubbard’s rules.

His conclusions, in a nutshell, were that the Earth was headed for another Ice Age and he predicted this would occur within the next 15 years or so (around the year 2010). Even though the issue of global warming was already on general public’s radar screen at the time, Jarrett insisted the scientists were wrong and the real deal was that the Earth was headed for another Ice Age.

Like any good Scientologist, he had sent copies of this “eval” with his findings to International Management, and they responded that this seemed like an important study, and they suggested that Jarrett head up some kind of unit to deal with this.

So Jarrett took his little show on the road and gave talks about this to Scientologists. My friend arranged for me to attend one of his talks on the environment in Los Angeles, which I did – along with a few dozen other Scientologists.

Jarrett spoke for about two to three hours that night; he talked a lot about studying chemtrails over the North Pole and a lot about exploration done in the South Pole to measure depth of ice, to determine how long it had been since the last Ice Age, how often they occur, etc.

Jarrett’s findings at the time boiled down to this: that the soil on planet Earth had demineralized to the point where another Ice Age would hit soon. The purpose of the Ice Age is to remineralize the soil. He said that life would not cease to exist during an Ice Age, but both the north and south parts of the planet would be uninhabitable due to glacier activity – i.e. the ice caps would descend from the North and South Poles to a point much closer to the equator. Most people who were able to would move to the land areas that were relatively close to the equator where the temperature would be warm enough to support life.

I think everyone who attended this briefing assumed his conclusion regarding another Ice Age due to soil demineralization had to be true because it was arrived at using Hubbard’s method of data analysis. I recall that it evoked anxiety or fear in the attendees, because while Jarrett wasn’t exactly predicting the end of the world, it sounded like a huge upheaval of people’s lives bordering on catastrophe – rather like what’s now going on in 2022.

— A Bunker correspondent

We sent an email to Jarrett Buys, asking if he was still predicting an ice age, and we received a lengthy reply from him. He tells us that our correspondent was wrong, that he was not predicting an ice age by the year 2010, but that one is coming, whether “in the the next 30 years or the next 1,000.” And he did acknowledge that he had graduated from the Data Series course twice, and was using it to evaluate data about the planet’s environment.

To simplify, the Data Series teaches you where to look by determining through a list of “out-points” where the “major departure from the ideal scene” is located – the area – so that you can further evaluate that situation and narrow the target, so to speak and come up with the WHY and the WHO (as there is always a WHO that is responsible for the WHY). Of course you have to know what the IDEAL SCENE is so you can determine what would be the major departure from it, in order to start your evaluation.

Back then, in ’94 and for a few years more, I did give a number of “briefings” within both the Scientology community, not only in the LA area but in Clearwater and NYC pertaining to the topic of Earth, its climate, the media’s obsession with “global warming” and the basics of having a safe foundation per Hubbard’s Precept 12-2, in THE WAY TO HAPPINESS book, which I am sure you have read or at least seen.

As for the data he used for his analysis, Jarrett helpfully directed our attention to a chart in a 1993 book which discusses temperature changes on the planet going back 600 million years.

As you will notice from the graph, the mean average temperature of Earth has only been declining for the past 150 million years. In the past 500,000 years that decline has intensified in frequency as well as gotten even colder. The apparent cyclic pattern is represented by approx. 90,000 years of glacial activity, followed by a much briefer and warmer 10,000 year Inter-glacial period, followed by another 90,000 year glacial period, on and on, right up to today where THIS current warming period we are now in – call the HOLOCENE – is coming to an end. I could go into a much longer and lengthy explanation of how I know this but I have not got the time to do this right now. Trust me, we are coming to the end of this Interglacial period – whether it is in the the next 30 years or the next 1000, it is “winding down”; there are indicators.


Last time around – the end of the last Interglacial epoch – it happened in about 20 years – went from a warm Interglacial period (like we are currently in right now) to a glacial period. That’s why the the members of the Explorers Club (of NYC), which L. Ron Hubbard was a member, went on an expedition to Greenland (circa: 1953) and uncovered a woolly mammoth in a block of ice, that had fresh flowers in its mouth! Yes, that animal did not have time to even chew that vegetation as it was flash-frozen. There is scientific record of such occurrences many times on this planet; they are called pole-shifts. You should do some reading about this topic.

Ah! We are so glad that Jarrett brought up this particular piece of evidence. We have, in fact, read extensively on the subject of the “fresh flowers” supposedly found in a woolly mammoth that Hubbard found so impressive (he actually cited it as fresh vegetables in a mammoth’s stomach).

In 2018 we looked into this, and found that the great Jason Colavito, one of our favorite destroyers of myths, had thoroughly debunked the story.

“Legend has it that in 1951 the Explorers Club served meat from a frozen mammoth, as you can read in this 2014 Mental Floss article that takes the story at least somewhat seriously. But a new analysis of the preserved remains of that dinner (don’t ask why anyone kept the leftovers for 65 years) determined that the food was actually turtle, which had been passed off not as mammoth but as megatherium, an extinct ground sloth. The Christian Science Monitor misunderstood what a megatherium was in 1951 and reported that the food was mammoth, causing the legend,” Colavito noted.

As for the idea that the mammoth had frozen so quickly it had fresh vegetables in its stomach, Colavito also explains that there’s a long history of crackpots repeating that thoroughly debunked story as well. (Some flower pollen found in a carcass somehow became fresh flowers and then vegetables as the story got retold by various Creationists and other catastrophists.)

For Creationists, these badly mangled stories about flash-frozen mammoths have been used to argue that the Earth is extremely young. Hubbard used the story for a much more entertaining reason: To suggest that the “mammoth” had been instantly freeze-dried because some Operating Thetan had ripped the atmosphere off the planet with a flick of the finger. (Hubbard’s message was that you too could have such godlike powers if you studied his Scientology methods.)

Jarrett says the story of the mammoth is proof of sudden pole shifts, which he warns is really the problem with climate change.

We will give Jarrett the last word, and we thank him for responding to our email. It was such fun to think about that bogus mammoth story again.

Anyway, there are other scientific evidence of these things called Pole Shifts which can be learned about rather easily, if one’s head was not constantly being filled with the latest media BS, not substantiated by any science at all…… global warming!

So, my point: Mankind is prone to only look at very short periods of time and make decisions based on what GEOLOGICALLY is a mere blink of time. The why for this is that many people are set on the concept that it’s “Miller time” – you know, you only go round once, so go for the gusto! – in other words, they are “one lifers.” So it is easy to make decisions that only entail their life or the future lives of their children and possibly their grandchildren – a couple of hundred years at best. “Grab what you can and go for the gusto” as you only have this one chance. Another big falsehood and really quite silly.

As to something to write about? The next glacial epoch, or better referred to by some as “ice age,” is still thousands of years away from now, not in your lifetime, your children’s, their children’s….etc. Unless we have a pole shift! So is this an extinction event for mankind? NO! How do I know that? Look back at the graph on page 27, I referred you to. See where HOMO SAPIEN begins? About 400,000 years ago! There have been three to four ice ages since then, many more pole shifts and God only knows what else. And, here we are still! So mankind made it! We ADAPTED to whatever was going on and are still here as a species on planet Earth. This was also the message at any briefing I ever gave – if those who were there were actually listening. But I am sure you know how that goes sometimes!

UPDATE: Jarrett expressed disappointment that we didn’t cite the source of the chart he drew from for his environmental data. We’re happy to add it: He was referring to a chart on page 27 of Tony McMichael’s 1993 book Planetary Overload. And we’ll do even better and post the image of that chart itself here:




Now available: Bonus for our supporters

Episode 4 of the Underground Bunker podcast has been sent out to paid subscribers, and it’s a conversation with Bruce Hines about the mind-warping life in the Sea Org and a new story about Shelly Miscavige we hadn’t heard before. Meanwhile, we’ve made episodes 1 through 3 available to everyone, with Jeffrey Augustine on recent Scientology court cases, Claire Headley exposing Tom Cruise, and Marc Headley on what it must be like for David Miscavige living in Clearwater, Florida. Go here to get the episodes!


Source Code

“All sorts of disastrous things will occur If you become an expert Dianetic auditor. Then we’re all in trouble because we will start curing everything, you know, and knocking out psychosis and neurosis and doing all those poor doctors out of their jobs. And you don’t want to do any doctors out of their jobs. But I say this in all sincerity, this leads you in to the fact that you can heal, and that is not your profession. You’re trying to clear people, and these processes will heal people, even badly run. They’ll cure migraine headaches and arthritis and lumbosis and medicosis and all kinds of wild illnesses. But it doesn’t necessarily follow that it’s uniform. In other words, you don’t get one for one for one, you see, for the excellent reason that the whole reactive mind is the reason for very severe illnesses. It’s the whole mind. And you can key out parts of it and make somebody quite well, you see. You can key out some very specific illness like that and have it go away but don’t be too surprised if it comes back. So therefore, ‘cure’ is not well used. It’s ill-advised as a word.” — L. Ron Hubbard, July 21, 1966


Avast, Ye Mateys

WWIII: The 18 July statement of Russia that it would back Arabs against Israel after an apparent squeeze play on Nasser is the first whiff of World War III. Yesterday’s news items of Soviet Rocket tests north of Hawaii is a confirming item. The Soviet has the US will to fight very knocked out internally in the US and is now following up to pressure the Middle East and the Pacific as a strategic action. They have of course misgauged the US reaction and a belligerent response wrongly done can tip over the cold war into a hot one. This is mentioned because it becomes a factor in our operations to be alert, preserve reserves, and beef up UK and EU.” — The Commodore, July 21, 1970



Overheard in the FreeZone

“He is part LRH-Tech genius in some ways but he has also a lot of Justin Craig the Gangbanger, Ex-Con, and thug still in him. I can grant beingness to all of that, we are all works in progress, and he admits he has not regained all of the wisdom or charisma or writing ability that LRH had. He may be the same being, he may not, but his universe and his personality is not at all the same.”


Past is Prologue

1997: The declaration of Roxanne Friend was posted for the first time on the net this week. Roxanne later died from a tumor that went undiagnosed during her time on Scientology staff. Some excerpts: “It was my understanding that everything about Scientology could be proven factually in the same manner as a scientist proves a scientific fact. These points are discussed at length in many Scientology publications. The Scientologist is not exposed to the above teachings until long after he/she has been indoctrinated into the group and subjected to mind control. Thus, for me, it became impossible to see the conflict between the scientific pretenses of Scientology and the ‘beliefs.’ I never accepted Scientology as a religion or belief and I continued to consider myself Jewish throughout my association with Scientology. I was also told that Scientology attempted to gain its status as a religion for two purposes–one being to avoid taxation for the organization and its constituents; and two, being to avoid having to come under scrutiny for its practices of Scientology and the far-out nature of the Upper Levels while I was still a member. During my relationship with Scientology, I was referred by Scientology to the Shaw Health Center for regular medical treatment. I was told that all of the doctors at Shaw were practicing Scientologists who used Scientology principles and techniques in their diagnosis and treatment. I was consistently dissuaded by my auditors and case supervisors from obtaining treatment from non-Scientologist physicians. [I]n the spring and summer of 1987 I was given auditing that I didn’t want and was not allowed to leave Flag when I wanted to. I was made to stay there for months to undergo auditing that I did not want and even though I told them I wanted to go back to Los Angeles because my father was visiting from the east, I was not permitted to do so. During this time I went from having mono to having pneumonia and getting very ill. Still, I was made to do auditing and was not allowed to leave. In December 1989 I went back to Florida for the purpose of doing a process called the Purification Rundown but was again forced to do the Introspection Rundown auditing. I left without Case Supervisor approval which was always required prior to leaving the Flag Land Base in Florida. I left in the middle of the night and took a taxi to a hotel near Tampa airport because I did not want to be on Scientology premises or continue the Introspection Rundown. Also, I made phone calls to the Clearwater, Florida or Tampa, Florida police saying that I was being held against my will. The Scientologists had the phone in my room cut off when I did this. In addition to the trauma of the kidnapping and imprisonment, the Scientologists took away my privacy. In December 1989 and January 1990, I was spied upon constantly, 24 hours a day. My phone calls were monitored (when I had a phone in December); my comings and goings were reported on; and, of course, in January when I was completely imprisoned, every aspect of my life was under constant surveillance. After I was released, I was unable to function at all. I could not work, I could not take care of personal business matters. I couldn’t think properly or have any social intercourse what-so-ever. I was so unbalanced by the experience that I was arrested for an assault and ended up under observation at U.S.C. Medical Center.”


Random Howdy

“He’s found the right balance between non-sequitur sesquipedalian punster and heartfelt commenting.”


Full Court Press: What we’re watching at the Underground Bunker

Criminal prosecutions:

Danny Masterson charged for raping three women: Trial scheduled for October 11, pretrial conference August 17.
‘Lafayette Ronald Hubbard’ (a/k/a Justin Craig), aggravated assault, plus drug charges: Last hearing was on January 18, referred to grand jury. Additional charges also referred to grand jury after January 5 assault while in jail.
Jay and Jeff Spina, Medicare fraud: Jay sentenced to 9 years in prison. Jeff’s sentencing to be scheduled.
Rizza Islam and other family members, Medi-Cal fraud: Readiness hearing scheduled for August 22 in Los Angeles
David Gentile, GPB Capital, fraud: Next pretrial conference set for September 19.
Yanti Mike Greene, Scientology private eye accused of contempt of court: Found guilty of criminal and civil contempt.

Civil litigation:
Baxter, Baxter, and Paris v. Scientology, alleging labor trafficking: Complaint filed April 28 in Tampa federal court, Scientology moving to compel arbitration.
Valerie Haney v. Scientology: Forced to ‘religious arbitration.’ Selection of arbitrators underway. Next court hearing: February 2, 2023.
Chrissie Bixler et al. v. Scientology and Danny Masterson: Appellate court removes requirement of arbitration on January 19, case remanded back to Superior Court. Stay in place, next status hearing October 25.
Brian Statler Sr v. City of Inglewood: Third amended complaint filed, trial set for December 6.
Author Steve Cannane defamation trial: New trial ordered after appeals court overturned prior ruling.
Chiropractors Steve Peyroux and Brent Detelich, stem cell fraud: Lawsuit filed by the FTC and state of Georgia in August, now in discovery phase.



We first broke the news of the LAPD’s investigation of Scientology celebrity Danny Masterson on rape allegations in 2017, and we’ve been covering the story every step of the way since then. At this page we’ve collected our most important links, including our four days in Los Angeles covering the preliminary hearing and its ruling, which has Danny facing trial and the potential sentence of 45 years to life in prison.


After the success of their double-Emmy-winning, three-season A&E series ‘Scientology and the Aftermath,’ Leah Remini and Mike Rinder continue the conversation on their podcast, ‘Scientology: Fair Game.’ We’ve created a landing page where you can hear all of the episodes so far.


An episode-by-episode guide to Leah Remini’s three-season, double-Emmy winning series that changed everything for Scientology watching. Originally aired from 2016 to 2019 on the A&E network, and now on Netflix.


Find your favorite Hubbardite celeb at this index page — or suggest someone to add to the list!

Other links: SCIENTOLOGY BLACK OPS: Tom Cruise and dirty tricks. Scientology’s Ideal Orgs, from one end of the planet to the other. Scientology’s sneaky front groups, spreading the good news about L. Ron Hubbard while pretending to benefit society. Scientology Lit: Books reviewed or excerpted in a weekly series. How many have you read?


[ONE year ago] US Supreme Court: Valerie Haney fires back at Scientology about its ‘religious ritual’
[TWO years ago] We’ve talked to the FBI’ Leah Remini says in first podcast, calling for Scientology raid
[THREE years ago] Evidence that Scientology is adopting an anti-vaxx strategy, and with political aspirations
[FOUR years ago] From Sands Hall’s excellent ‘Flunk. Start.’ — the paradox of ‘Keeping Scientology Working’
[FIVE years ago] As Leah Remini’s second season approaches, more Scientology survivors are opening up
[SIX years ago] Scientology goes shopping for a new top cop in L.A., and a new video from Chris Shelton!
[SEVEN years ago] Scientology’s speechwriter, the word of God, and a Hubbard bio that will never see the light of day
[EIGHT years ago] Surviving Scientology podcast: Former treasury employee Mat Pesch spills the beans
[NINE years ago] Neil Gaiman’s Nephew Fights for Scientology Marriage Rights in the UK
[TEN years ago] Why Do Scientologists Accept the Xenu Story?
[ELEVEN years ago] Scientology’s Top Former Spokesman Talks Spying; The Church’s Hollywood Properties Probed


Scientology disconnection, a reminder

Bernie Headley (1952-2019) did not see his daughter Stephanie in his final 5,667 days.
Valerie Haney has not seen her mother Lynne in 2,732 days.
Katrina Reyes has not seen her mother Yelena in 3,237 days
Sylvia Wagner DeWall has not seen her brother Randy in 2,787 days.
Brian Sheen has not seen his grandson Leo in 1,777 days.
Geoff Levin has not seen his son Collin and daughter Savannah in 1,668 days.
Christie Collbran has not seen her mother Liz King in 4,973 days.
Clarissa Adams has not seen her parents Walter and Irmin Huber in 2,843 days.
Carol Nyburg has not seen her daughter Nancy in 3,617 days.
Doug Kramer has not seen his parents Linda and Norm in 1,948 days.
Jamie Sorrentini Lugli has not seen her father Irving in 4,421 days.
Quailynn McDaniel has not seen her brother Sean in 3,737 days.
Dylan Gill has not seen his father Russell in 12,303 days.
Melissa Paris has not seen her father Jean-Francois in 8,222 days.
Valeska Paris has not seen her brother Raphael in 4,390 days.
Mirriam Francis has not seen her brother Ben in 3,970 days.
Claudio and Renata Lugli have not seen their son Flavio in 4,232 days.
Sara Goldberg has not seen her daughter Ashley in 3,268 days.
Lori Hodgson has not seen her son Jeremy and daughter Jessica in 2,983 days.
Marie Bilheimer has not seen her mother June in 2,508 days.
Julian Wain has not seen his brother Joseph or mother Susan in 863 days.
Charley Updegrove has not seen his son Toby in 2,038 days.
Joe Reaiche has not seen his daughter Alanna Masterson in 6,589 days
Derek Bloch has not seen his father Darren in 3,738 days.
Cindy Plahuta has not seen her daughter Kara in 4,058 days.
Roger Weller has not seen his daughter Alyssa in 8,913 days.
Claire Headley has not seen her mother Gen in 4,032 days.
Ramana Dienes-Browning has not seen her mother Jancis in 2,388 days.
Mike Rinder has not seen his son Benjamin and daughter Taryn in 6,691 days.
Brian Sheen has not seen his daughter Spring in 2,797 days.
Skip Young has not seen his daughters Megan and Alexis in 3,195 days.
Mary Kahn has not seen her son Sammy in 3,071 days.
Lois Reisdorf has not seen her son Craig in 2,654 days.
Phil and Willie Jones have not seen their son Mike and daughter Emily in 3,149 days.
Mary Jane Barry has not seen her daughter Samantha in 3,403 days.
Kate Bornstein has not seen her daughter Jessica in 14,512 days.


Posted by Tony Ortega on July 21, 2022 at 07:00

E-mail tips to tonyo94 AT gmail DOT com or follow us on Twitter. We also post updates at our Facebook author page. After every new story we send out an alert to our e-mail list and our FB page.

Our new book with Paulette Cooper, Battlefield Scientology: Exposing L. Ron Hubbard’s dangerous ‘religion’ is now on sale at Amazon in paperback and Kindle formats. Our book about Paulette, The Unbreakable Miss Lovely: How the Church of Scientology tried to destroy Paulette Cooper, is on sale at Amazon in paperback, Kindle, and audiobook versions. We’ve posted photographs of Paulette and scenes from her life at a separate location. Reader Sookie put together a complete index. More information can also be found at the book’s dedicated page.

The Best of the Underground Bunker, 1995-2021 Just starting out here? We’ve picked out the most important stories we’ve covered here at the Underground Bunker (2012-2021), The Village Voice (2008-2012), New Times Los Angeles (1999-2002) and the Phoenix New Times (1995-1999)

Other links: BLOGGING DIANETICS: Reading Scientology’s founding text cover to cover | UP THE BRIDGE: Claire Headley and Bruce Hines train us as Scientologists | GETTING OUR ETHICS IN: Jefferson Hawkins explains Scientology’s system of justice | SCIENTOLOGY MYTHBUSTING: Historian Jon Atack discusses key Scientology concepts | Shelly Miscavige, 15 years gone | The Lisa McPherson story told in real time | The Cathriona White stories | The Leah Remini ‘Knowledge Reports’ | Hear audio of a Scientology excommunication | Scientology’s little day care of horrors | Whatever happened to Steve Fishman? | Felony charges for Scientology’s drug rehab scam | Why Scientology digs bomb-proof vaults in the desert | PZ Myers reads L. Ron Hubbard’s “A History of Man” | Scientology’s Master Spies | The mystery of the richest Scientologist and his wayward sons | Scientology’s shocking mistreatment of the mentally ill | The Underground Bunker’s Official Theme Song | The Underground Bunker FAQ

Watch our short videos that explain Scientology’s controversies in three minutes or less…

Check your whale level at our dedicated page for status updates, or join us at the Underground Bunker’s Facebook discussion group for more frivolity.

Our non-Scientology stories: Robert Burnham Jr., the man who inscribed the universe | Notorious alt-right inspiration Kevin MacDonald and his theories about Jewish DNA | The selling of the “Phoenix Lights” | Astronomer Harlow Shapley‘s FBI file | Sex, spies, and local TV news | Battling Babe-Hounds: Ross Jeffries v. R. Don Steele


Tony Ortega at The Daily Beast


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